prediction-market-arbitrageOrchestrates monitoring, market odds, and execution proxy tools to detect news-market price gaps and emit arbitrage alerts with optional trade plans.
Install via ClawdBot CLI:
clawdbot install h4gen/prediction-market-arbitrageGrade Fair — based on market validation, documentation quality, package completeness, maintenance status, and authenticity signals.
Calls external URL not in known-safe list
https://clawhub.aiAudited Apr 17, 2026 · audit v1.0
Generated Mar 1, 2026
Monitor breaking news about a CEO potentially resigning from a major corporation. Compare the confidence score from news signals against the current market probability on Polymarket. If the news confidence significantly exceeds the market probability, alert for a potential buy opportunity on the 'yes' outcome.
Track high-signal news related to an upcoming product launch, such as pre-order numbers or insider leaks. Assess the news confidence against the market's implied probability of launch success on Polymarket. Identify mispricing where positive news isn't reflected in market odds, suggesting an arbitrage alert.
Follow news about regulatory decisions, like FDA approvals for pharmaceuticals. Use the topic-monitor to score confidence from official announcements or leaks, then compare it to Polymarket probabilities. Trigger alerts when regulatory news confidence outpaces market expectations, indicating a trading opportunity.
Monitor real-time news and social media signals for political election outcomes. Calculate the confidence from trending topics and compare it to prediction market odds on Polymarket. Detect arbitrage opportunities when news-driven confidence diverges sharply from market prices, especially close to election dates.
Analyze breaking news such as player injuries or team strategy leaks in sports. Use the topic-monitor to derive confidence scores and contrast them with Polymarket odds for game outcomes. Alert on mispricing where recent news suggests a different probability than the market, enabling informed betting decisions.
Offer a subscription-based service that provides real-time alerts for prediction market mispricings. Users pay a monthly fee to receive notifications via email or app when the skill detects significant deltas between news confidence and market probabilities, helping them capitalize on trading opportunities.
Sell aggregated insights and reports derived from the skill's monitoring and decision data. Target hedge funds or trading firms by providing analytics on news-market correlations, trend analysis, and performance metrics, enabling data-driven investment strategies in prediction markets.
Provide consulting services to help businesses integrate this meta-skill into their existing trading or risk management workflows. Assist with setup, customization, and optimization of the skill chain, ensuring efficient operation and compliance with user-specific requirements.
💬 Integration Tip
Ensure all prerequisite skills are installed and configured correctly via ClawHub, and set up environment variables like SIMMER_API_KEY for execution patterns to avoid runtime errors.
Scored Apr 19, 2026
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