Polymarket Candle Cross Asset Divergence Traderv0.0.3

Deploy the agent to continuously scan Polymarket 5-minute interval markets for BTC vs. altcoin (ETH, SOL, XRP) directional divergences. When BTC shows UP probability >55% and a follower shows DOWN probability <45%, automatically trade the follower's convergence toward BTC direction. This captures mispricing in discrete binary markets.

Use the divergence signal to provide liquidity and hedge positions across correlated assets. For example, if BTC is UP and ETH is DOWN, buy ETH YES while selling BTC NO to profit from convergence while market-making spreads.

Integrate the skill into a larger portfolio that holds positions on Polymarket. Use divergence signals to adjust exposure: if BTC predicts UP but a follower predicts DOWN, reduce the follower's short exposure or increase long exposure before resolution.

Run the skill in paper trading mode to generate real-time alerts and visualizations of correlation breakdowns. This helps retail traders and students learn about crypto market microstructure and pair trading concepts without financial risk.

Adapt the signal logic to historical data (e.g., stored Polymarket outcomes) to backtest divergence thresholds, conviction sizing, and trade frequency. Optimize parameters like DIV_THRESHOLD and SIMMER_MAX_POSITION before live deployment.

Operate the skill as a standalone trading bot using personal capital. Profit from convergence trades on divergences. Revenue comes from net positive returns after fees.

Package the divergence detection and trade execution as a subscription service. Customers receive real-time alerts and can opt in to automated execution. Offer tiered plans based on trade frequency or position size.

Raise capital from investors to run the strategy at scale. Use the skill as one leg of a multi-strategy fund. Charge management and performance fees.