threshold-traderAutomatically trades prediction markets when prices deviate beyond your configured probability threshold with Kelly Criterion sizing and safety checks.
Install via ClawdBot CLI:
clawdbot install skybinjf/threshold-traderGrade Fair — based on market validation, documentation quality, package completeness, maintenance status, and authenticity signals.
Calls external URL not in known-safe list
https://simmer.markets/dashboardAudited Apr 27, 2026 · audit v1.0
Generated May 12, 2026
Use the threshold trader to automatically place bets on sports outcomes when market probabilities diverge from your own predictions. For example, set THRESHOLD_PROBABILITY to 0.65 for a team win and trade YES when edge exceeds 3%.
Configure the skill with your candidate's probability estimate and let it trade on prediction markets like Polymarket. Automatically adjusts positions as new polling data emerges, executing only when edge is favorable.
Trade on markets predicting weather events (e.g., temperature highs, rainfall) by setting your threshold based on meteorological models. The skill handles market scanning and position sizing.
Speculate on crypto-related events (e.g., ETF approval, halving dates) using threshold trading. Set probability from your analysis and let the skill manage trades on crypto prediction markets.
Package the threshold trader as a service where subscribers receive automated trades based on your proprietary probability estimates. Revenue from monthly subscription fees.
Offer the skill for free but charge a small commission on each trade executed (e.g., via a referral link or API usage fee). Revenue scales with user trading volume.
Provide consulting services to clients who want to integrate their own predictive models into the threshold trader template. Revenue from one-time setup fees and ongoing support.
💬 Integration Tip
Replace the fixed THRESHOLD_PROBABILITY with a call to your own model via API. Use the --live flag only after thorough paper trading on 'sim' venue.
Scored May 12, 2026
Query and trade on Polymarket prediction markets — check odds, trending markets, search events, view order books, place trades, and manage positions. Now ava...
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