manifoldRead and trade on Manifold Markets (search markets, fetch probabilities, inspect users/bets, place bets/sell/comment). Never place a bet/sell/comment without explicit user confirmation.
Install via ClawdBot CLI:
clawdbot install Crotalus/manifoldGrade Limited — based on market validation, documentation quality, package completeness, maintenance status, and authenticity signals.
Sends data to undocumented external endpoint (potential exfiltration)
POST → https://api.manifold.markets/v0/betCalls external URL not in known-safe list
https://manifold.marketsAudited Apr 17, 2026 · audit v1.0
Generated Mar 21, 2026
Analysts can use this skill to search and monitor prediction markets on economic indicators, corporate earnings, or policy outcomes, fetching real-time probabilities to inform reports. They can quickly compare market sentiment across multiple topics without manual browsing, enhancing data-driven insights.
Researchers in social sciences can automate data collection on market predictions for events like election results or scientific breakthroughs, analyzing probabilities over time. This enables large-scale studies on prediction accuracy and crowd behavior without coding custom API integrations.
Bloggers or streamers covering speculative topics can fetch market details to discuss trends, place small bets for audience interaction after confirmation, and post comments to participate in community debates. It streamlines content creation around real-time prediction data.
Companies can track markets related to industry disruptions, regulatory changes, or competitor actions to gauge external forecasts. Teams can use read tasks to inform strategic decisions and, with approval, place bets to hedge opinions or signal confidence in outcomes.
Individual traders can inspect their own bet history and user stats to review performance, monitor open positions, and sell shares when desired. The skill automates portfolio checks and ensures safe write actions with explicit confirmations to prevent errors.
Offer consulting where experts use the skill to provide clients with analyzed market data and execute trades on their behalf, charging a fee for insights and managed betting. Revenue comes from subscription or performance-based commissions on successful trades.
Build a platform that aggregates prediction market data from Manifold and other sources, using this skill to fetch and display probabilities, trends, and user activity. Monetize through premium analytics, API access for businesses, or advertising on the platform.
Develop courses or tools that teach prediction market trading, integrating this skill for hands-on practice with real market data and safe, confirmed write actions. Generate revenue from course sales, certification fees, or affiliate links to trading platforms.
💬 Integration Tip
Ensure MANIFOLD_API_KEY is securely stored and use the confirmation workflow for all write tasks to comply with safety rules and avoid unintended trades.
Scored Jun 19, 2026
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