argus-edgeArgus-style prediction market edge detection and betting strategy. Computes expected value from TA-implied probability vs market odds, sizes bets via Kelly c...
Install via ClawdBot CLI:
clawdbot install JamieRossouw/argus-edgeGrade Fair — based on market validation, documentation quality, package completeness, maintenance status, and authenticity signals.
Generated Mar 20, 2026
A user leverages Argus Edge to identify high-probability bets on Polymarket by analyzing fresh markets (<30 minutes old) with TA-implied probabilities. It calculates edge (difference between TA and market odds) and applies Kelly criterion for optimal bet sizing, aiming for a 77.8% win rate in primary scenarios.
A market maker uses Argus Edge to assess edge across various assets (e.g., BTC, ETH, SOL) and calibrate bets based on TA reliability and bias. By applying freshness guards and counter-consensus rules, they provide liquidity in under-priced markets while managing risk with validated strategies.
An investor employs Argus Edge to compute expected value (EV) for specific markets, such as BTC 11am ET events, by comparing TA scores to market odds. This helps in making data-driven decisions on whether to bet or avoid based on edge thresholds and asset-specific calibrations.
A developer integrates Argus Edge into an automated bot for continuous scanning of Polymarket. It executes bets when conditions like edge ≥10%, freshness, and TA scores are met, optimizing bankroll growth through Kelly sizing and documented lessons from 100+ live bets.
A trainer uses Argus Edge to teach concepts like edge detection, Kelly criterion, and consensus analysis in prediction markets. Based on 25 documented lessons, it provides practical examples for learners to understand betting strategies in crypto environments.
Offer a paid service where subscribers receive real-time alerts on high-edge bets identified by Argus Edge on Polymarket. Include detailed analysis with Kelly sizing and freshness checks, targeting users seeking consistent returns from prediction markets.
License the Argus Edge technology to other platforms or betting firms for integration into their systems. Provide customization options for different assets and rules, enabling clients to enhance their own prediction market offerings with proven strategies.
Manage a fund that uses Argus Edge to place bets on Polymarket, sharing profits with investors. Leverage the 77.8% win rate in primary bets and documented lessons to attract capital, with transparent reporting on edge calculations and risk management.
💬 Integration Tip
Integrate Argus Edge by connecting to Polymarket APIs for real-time data, ensuring TA scores are updated frequently and applying freshness guards to filter markets effectively.
Scored Apr 19, 2026
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