alpha-finderMarket Oracle for prediction market intelligence - Polymarket and Kalshi research, probability assessments, market sentiment analysis, and arbitrage opportunity identification. Use when users want to research prediction markets, analyze betting odds, or find market inefficiencies. Costs $0.03 USDC per request via x402 protocol on Base network.
Install via ClawdBot CLI:
clawdbot install TzannetosGiannis/alpha-finderResearch prediction markets and find alpha using AI-powered market intelligence across Polymarket, Kalshi, and traditional sources.
The private key must be available via one of these methods:
Option 1: Environment variable
export X402_PRIVATE_KEY="0x..."
Option 2: Config file (Recommended)
The script checks for x402-config.json in these locations (in order):
./x402-config.json~/.x402-config.json ← Recommended$PWD/x402-config.jsonCreate the config file:
{
"private_key": "0x1234567890abcdef..."
}
Example (home directory - works for any user):
echo '{"private_key": "0x..."}' > ~/.x402-config.json
Run the market research script with a query about prediction markets or events:
scripts/analyze.sh "<market query>"
The script:
User: "What are the odds for Bitcoin hitting $100k?"
scripts/analyze.sh "Bitcoin 100k prediction market odds"
User: "Find arbitrage opportunities in election markets"
scripts/analyze.sh "2024 election prediction market arbitrage"
User: "Analyze Polymarket odds on AI developments"
scripts/analyze.sh "Polymarket AI development predictions"
User: "What's the market sentiment on climate policy outcomes?"
scripts/analyze.sh "climate policy prediction markets Kalshi Polymarket"
The tool automatically searches across:
Generated Mar 1, 2026
Traders use Alpha Finder to scan Polymarket and Kalshi for mispriced odds across similar events, such as election outcomes or cryptocurrency price targets, enabling them to execute profitable arbitrage trades by capitalizing on market inefficiencies. This scenario supports high-frequency trading strategies in prediction markets, leveraging real-time data from web, Reddit, and X sources to identify fleeting opportunities.
Hedge funds employ Alpha Finder to assess market sentiment on events like climate policy changes or AI developments, using AI-powered probability assessments from prediction markets to inform investment decisions and risk management. This helps funds gauge public opinion and potential market impacts, integrating insights from GitHub, news, and social media for comprehensive due diligence.
Political analysts utilize Alpha Finder to research prediction markets on elections or policy outcomes, analyzing odds and historical patterns from Polymarket and Kalshi to forecast results and understand voter sentiment. This scenario aids in creating data-driven reports by combining market intelligence with discussions from Reddit and X, enhancing accuracy in political forecasting.
Betting platforms integrate Alpha Finder to verify probabilities and odds for events like sports outcomes or tech milestones, ensuring their offerings align with market consensus and identifying arbitrage risks. This supports platform integrity by cross-referencing data from multiple sources, including regulated markets and web analysis, to maintain competitive and fair pricing.
Individual investors use Alpha Finder to monitor prediction market positions on assets like Bitcoin or stock indices, tracking odds and sentiment to manage personal portfolios and adjust strategies based on market intelligence. This scenario helps non-professionals stay informed with AI-processed insights from diverse data sources, aiding in decision-making for speculative investments.
Alpha Finder operates on a pay-per-request model, charging $0.03 USDC per query via the x402 protocol on Base network, appealing to users who need occasional market intelligence without long-term commitments. This model generates revenue directly from usage, incentivizing efficiency and scalability as demand for prediction market analysis grows among traders and researchers.
The skill can be licensed as an API to enterprises like hedge funds or betting platforms, offering bulk access to market intelligence for integration into proprietary systems, with tiered pricing based on request volume or features. This model drives recurring revenue through contracts, leveraging the tool's capabilities in arbitrage identification and sentiment analysis for high-value clients.
A freemium model provides basic market research for free, while premium features such as advanced arbitrage alerts or historical data analytics are unlocked via subscription or higher per-request costs, attracting a broad user base. This model diversifies revenue streams by monetizing power users and institutions seeking deeper insights, while fostering adoption among beginners.
💬 Integration Tip
Ensure the private key is securely configured via environment variables or a config file, and pre-fund the Base wallet with USDC to avoid payment errors during analysis requests.
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